FanDuel NFL Week 10: In-Depth Player Pool With Expert Analysis
Week 9 was incredible! I went six for six in cashing my Sunday Million FanDuel lineups builds. I also went five of six in entering those lineups in more expensive, mostly single-entry, tournaments. That included a 3rd place finish in the $65 tournament for a $2,000 win.
For a full recap of the $2,000 win, read FANDUEL WEEK 9 RECAP: MCLELLAN’S 2K WIN AND SIX-FOR-SIX GPP PERFORMANCE.
With last week’s performance, I have now been cash flow positive six of nine weeks, including two three-week winning streaks. Hopefully, we can extend the current streak to four.
My strategy is to take a shotgun approach of stacks with most of the top projected QBs and their WRs who are highly targeted and are in great matchups. I enter those lineups in the Sunday Million tournament and a higher-priced tournament with a much better payout structure. The core for these lineup builds is a select few RBs that are either projected to be top scorers or are backups with a heavy workload that should create an easy path for them to achieve 2x value or more. If they perform well, then they lift all my lineups. An injury to one of these RBs could tank my whole week. So far, the reward has outweighed the risk.
I’m again playing six QBs this week. Two QBs that I didn’t include in this article that will be heavily owned are Russell Wilson (SEA, $8,900), and Jared Goff (LAR,$7,300), who play each other. Wilson is the most expensive QB on the slate but is in a tough matchup against the Rams that makes me shy away from his price. Goff is likely going to have a fantastic day throwing the ball against the Seahawks porous pass defense, but Goff offers virtually nothing on the ground to pad his stats. Playing a Rams WR in other builds does make sense.
We are now at the point of the NFL season, where it is critical to check the weather before adding a player to your lineup, no matter how good the matchup is. NFLWeather.com is a great source. Our current biggest concern is in Green Bay, where we expect near-freezing temperatures and wind gusts up to 30 mph. That could hamper the passing game while providing a boost to RBs.
Research, The Mikes
As regular readers of my column, you will not only see my research of stats but the analysis of some of the best experts in the industry (If you can’t beat them, join and credit them). Mike Tagliere of FantasyPros and Mike Woellert of 4for4 are quoted frequently.
Tagliere’s weekly column, The Primer, is the most compressive look at Fantasy Football. It’s typically about 20,000 words and had well thought out information on every fantasy-relevant (and not so relevant) player. Tagliere takes into account defensive injures, schemes, matchups, and historical numbers. I admire Tagliere’s work. This article is somewhat modeled after The Primer but reduced to only the players I’m using.
Woellert is an expert at WR vs CB matchups. He continually finds low owned undervalued players that have huge weeks. When spending up at WR, it’s great to know they are in advantageous situations. As the season progresses, patterns emerge, and it becomes clear which CBs should be exploited. Our goal will be to play WRs covered by CBs, who average near or above 2.0 fantasy points per target.
While my articles give you free exposure to a sliver of the information, at FantasyPros and 4for4, I would recommend subscribing to help with your research.
Week 6 FanDuel Player Pool
Kyler Murray (AIR, $8,800) is the top projected QB at 4fo4 at 26.2 points against the Bills. Murray is coming off a monster game in a losing effort against Miami. Murray completed 21 of 26 passes for 283 yards and three TDs. He also rushed 11 times for 106 yards and another TD to score 37.92 fantasy points. It was actually slightly less than the week prior when he scored 38.1 points against the Seahawks. The Bills are average against QBs, having allowed 19.45 fantasy points a game to QBs. One area the Bills have struggled against opposing QBs is having allowed rushing TDs; they are in a five-way tie for second-worst with four allowed. Murray has eight rushing TDs on the season and has scored on the ground in every game except one (Week 4, CAR), including four straight weeks. The game has the highest over-under projection at 56.5 points with the Cardinals favored by two points, to give the Cardinals an implied score of 29 points.
Josh Allen (BUF, $8,700) provides the opposing QB to Murray in a projected high scoring game. Allen lit it up last Sunday against the Seahawks when he completed 31 of 38 passes for 415 yards and three TDs. He also rushed for 14 yards and a TD to score 36 fantasy points. The Cardinals have performed slightly better than the Bills against QBs, having allowed 18.99 fantasy points a game. Allen is also a threat on the ground like Murray. Allen has scored one rushing TD in five of eight games. The Cardinals, however, have only allowed one rushing TDs to QBs all season. At $100 more, Murray appears to have more upside than Allen for his higher potential of scoring on the ground.
Aaron Rodgers (GB, $8,400) is the third-highest projected QB at 4for4 at 22.5 points. Rodgers is coming off 28.9 points against the 49ers by completing 31 of 35 passes for 305 yards and four TDs. He also rushed for seven yards. Rodgers faces the Jaguars, who have allowed a third-most 22.72 fantasy points a game to QBs. The game has a 51.5 over under projection with the Packers favored by 13.5 points. That gives Green Bay the highest implied total at 32.5 points. However, that game projected game script does not bode well for Rodgers throwing a lot lately. If Vegas is correct on this game will go, then Rodgers will likely be handing the ball off a ton late in the game. The Jags have allowed a sixth-most 27.61 fantasy points a game to RBs. That implies that RB Aaron Jones may have a big day while putting a ceiling on Rodgers in terms of passing TDs. There will be more on Jones in the RB section. The point is Rodgers does not offer much in fantasy production on the ground compared to Murray. The $400 more for Murray provides considerable upside, and that is why I’m more likely to use Murray in the higher-priced single-entry tournaments than Rodgers.
Deshaun Watson (HOU, $8,300) has provided solid fantasy performances for this season and has been especially good for the past four games with a 26.82 average. Watson has the fifth-highest projection at 4for4 at 21.1 points. Watson faces the Browns, who have allowed a 10th most 20.18 fantasy points a game to QBs. Watson is similar to Rodgers because his ceiling does not appear to be nearly as high as Murray. Watson only has one rushing TD on the season, and the Browns have only allowed one. When you consider getting a QB/RB with Murray for $500 more, Murray again appears to provide considerably more value for the price.
Justin Herbert (LAC, $8,000) may not be winning football games, but he has been fantastic at putting cash in the pockets of DFS players. Allen has averaged 306.57 passing yards a game, scored 19 total TDs with two being his fewest, and 25.1 fantasy points a game. Herbert faces the same Miami defense that Murray torched for 37.92 points. Herbert hasn’t been nearly as productive on the ground as Murray, but he has flashed that element of the game. Over the past three games, Herbert has 111 rushing yards with one TD. The over-under for this game does provide a little concern at 48, with Miami favored by 2.5. This gives the Chargers an implied total of 23, which is on the low end for a QB that has now reached $8,000.
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA, $6,800) provides the opposing QB to Herbert and is $1,200 cheaper, with Dolphins expected to score 26 points. Last week was Tagovailoa’s second game as a starter, and the reigns were certainly loosened for him. Tagoviloa completed 20 of 28 passes for 248 yards and two TDs. He also added 35 yards on the ground to score a respectable 21.42 fantasy points. The Chargers have allowed a fourth-most fantasy points average to QBs at 21.51 points. The Bolts have also allowed three rushing TDs to QBs. Despite the relatively low over-under, this game could surprise and turn into a close high scoring affair. If that were to occur, Tagovailoa might provide the best return to value on the slate.
Take A Side
Davante Adams (GB, $9,500) is the most expensive WR on the slate, and for good reasons. Adams hasn’t scored less than 26.8 points in the last three weeks. The Packers have the highest over-under projection. Adams should also see plus CB matchups in Sidney Jones and CJ Henderson. “I’m expecting Davante Adams to have a big game,” wrote Woellert. “Allen Lazard is expected to return this week, but I don’t see that having a major impact on Davante’s targets. In Week 1, the only full-game they played together, Adams still received 17 targets. There’s no question who the alpha dog is here. Green Bay does a good job moving Adams around. When lining up outside, he’s run 56% of his routes on the left-side and the remainder on the right. He’s going to match up on both Sidney Jones and C.J. Henderson. Adams has averaged 14 snaps out of the slot, so he’ll see Tre Herndon, as well. I’m not afraid of the Jones matchup at all. Henderson and Herndon have been responsible for, a combined, five scores and 2.1 fantasy points per target.”
DeAndre Hopkins (AIR, $8,600), Christian Kirk ($6,300), and Larry Fitzgerald ($5,000) are all in play as stacks with QB Kyler Murray. Hopkins should most be covered by Bills CB Tre’Davious White, who has allowed a 50% catch rate and 1.66 fantasy points per target. Josh Norman should cover Kirk, who has allowed an 82.4% catch rate and 1.95 fantasy points per target. Fitzgerald by CB Taron Johnson has allowed a 73% catch rate and 1.82 fantasy points per target. Kirk and Hopkins are a clear cut above Fitzgerald. Kirk’s lowest score in the last three games is 18.2 (Week 8, SEA), and has a high of 21.6 (Week 7, DAL) with five TDs in that span. Fitzgerald does not have a TD this season, so it’s hard to project more than 2X for him.
Michael Thomas (NO, $8,500) could re-emerge as the top WR in the league and challenge Davante Adams for the WR 1 this week. Yeah, that Michael Thomas, the one we drafted in the first round of our season-long leagues. There is an argument to made for Thomas over Adams. Thomas is playing inside a dome while Adams will be playing in the wind. Thomas has the same matchup Adams had last week when he caught 10 of 12 targets for 183 yards and a TD. Thomas should be covered by CB Jason Verrett, who has allowed a 65.2% catch rate and 1.64 fantasy points per target. I didn’t think this would ever be possible to say, but Thomas is a sneaky play.
Stefon Diggs (BUF, $7,900) and John Brown ($5,600) are both in play as a stack with QB Josh Allen or an opposing WR to Kyler Murray. CB Patrick Peterson should cover Diggs has allowed a 52.8% catch rate and 1.63 fantasy points per target. Brown will likely be covered by CB Dre Kirkpatrick, who has allowed a 79.4% catch rate and a high 1.99 fantasy point per target. Diggs is the clear go-to receiver for Allen. Diggs leads all WRs with 91 targets on the season and the highest target rate for their team at 16.8%, according to the 4for4 Player Target App. Brown, however, is coming off his most targeted of the season. Last week, he caught sight of 11 targets for 99 yards.
Keenan Allen (LAC, $7,800) is the clear number one target for QB Justin Herbert. Allen has 86 targets on the year and has had 16.5% of his team’s targets, barely second to Diggs in both categories. Allen should be covered by Dolphins CB Nik Needham, who has allowed a 64% catch rate and 1.56 fantasy points per target. Chargers WR Jalen Guyton ($4,900) actually has the best CB matchup in terms of fantasy points allowed per target. Guyton should be covered by CB Xavien Howard, who has allowed a 45.7% catch rate and 1.57 points per target. Howard has also allowed a very high 16.94 yards per reception. That bodes well for Guyton, who has a 72 and a 70 yard TD on the season. However, Guyton’s floor is also literally zero, so he is only a GPP play.
Robert Woods (LAR, $7,200) is Woellert’s favorite Rams WR, but really he likes them all against the Seahawks. Woods has a particularly good matchup against CB Quinton Dunbar, who has allowed 1.96 fantasy points per target. “Woods has run 72% of his outside routes on the right side but will get slot snaps, as well,” wrote Woellert. “Woods has 186 as a slot receiver. Woods is on the field for 90% of the snaps and is averaging nearly seven targets a game. I’m hoping Sean McVay follows Buffalo’s game plan and just launches the ball all over the yard this week. Woods should run the majority of his routes on Quinton Dunbar this week. Dunbar has struggled in coverage, which has been par for the course for the entire secondary. Dunbar has allowed four TDs, and is currently on a streak of allowing a TD in three straight.”
Terry McLaurin (WAS, $7,000) is $200 cheaper than Woods and maybe lower owned because he does not play one of the perceived high scoring games. The game has an over-under at 46.5 points with the Lions favored by 4.5 points That provide Washington an implied score of 21. That doesn’t mean McLaurian isn’t going to have a huge day. Over the last four weeks, only Davante Adams has a higher share of team targets at 37.3%, according to a Tweet from 4for4. McLaurin has a 33.7% share of the Washington offense in that span, according to a Tweet from 4for4. McLaurin also leads all WR this season for yards after the catch at 367. McLaurin has a very positive CB matchup against CB Jeff Okudah, who has allowed a 73.2 catch rate and 1.99 fantasy points per target. Despite the expected point differential in the Packers and Washington’s final score, it fair to expect similar outcomes for Adams and McLaurin, who $2,500 cheaper. That’s because, in the Packers game, we expect RB Aaron Jones to have a heavy share of the scoring for Packers. “F1 is sitting on the pole position this week and is ready to leave the Detroit secondary in his smoke,” wrote Woellert. McLaurin has been targeted at least seven times in all eight games and has four games of double-digit targets. McLaurin is dominating the market share in targets and air yards. Washington is starting Alex Smith this week, and that doesn’t worry me at all. Smith threw for 325 yards last week, with a 10.16 YPA average, right in line with McLaurin’s 10.1- yard average depth of target. He should draw Jeff Okudah on most of his coverage routes. Although Okudah has allowed just one score, he’s been burned for 456 yards in coverage and nearly two fantasy points per target. I think McLaurin races to the endzone and 100-yards this week.”
Brandin Cooks (HOU, $6,300) is the clear stack with QB Deshaun Watson. Browns CB Denzel Ward should cover Cooks. “Brandin Cooks has received consistent targets over the last four weeks, with four consecutive games of nine or more,” wrote Woellert. “Denzel Ward hasn’t been a true shutdown corner. Opposing QBs aren’t afraid of throwing his way. He’s been thrown at 41 times and has allowed four scores, resulting in 1.8 fantasy points per target”.
DeVante Parker (MIA, $6,000) and Jakeem Grant ($4,600) is a very intriguing double stack option with QB Tua Tagovailoa. Parker is cheap for a number one WR, but the matchup is not fantastic. Parker should be covered by Chargers CB Casey Hayward Jr., who has allowed a 46.7% catch rate and 1.50 fantasy points per target. Parker has averaged 6.1 points per target and has been targeted on 12.7% of the Dolphins offensive plays. Parker provides a solid floor and has TD upside. Grant enters the Dolphins starting lineup with WR Preston Williams (foot) going on IR. Grant took Williams place when he was injured last week, and despite playing in just 48% of the offensive snaps, he caught four of five targets for 60 yards and a TD to score 14 fantasy points. Grant should be covered by Michael Davis, who has allowed a 67.% catch rate and somewhat high 1.75 fantasy points per target. The stack of Tagovailoa/Parker/Grant only cost $13,400. This stack will enable me to have at least one share of Alvin Kamara with Aaron Jones + a top WR.
Curtis Samuel (CAR, $5,700) could be one of those low priced and low owned WRs that rockets your GPP up the ranks. Here Samuel’s fantasy production in the last three weeks: scored 14.3 points against the Saints in Week 7, 19.4 points against Atlanta, and 22.3 points against the Chiefs. Nevertheless, he likely is going to go under the radar of many DFS players because as a whole there isn’t a ton of attention being put on the Panthers at Buccaneers game. What makes Samuel particularly appealing is some of his production is coming with rushing attempts that add to the fantasy points he scores as a WR. Think of him as a pass-catching RB, but in reverse. With RB Christian McCaffrey (shoulder) likely to miss, that could mean more rushing attempts for Samuel. He also has a great CB matchup to exploit as WR in Bucs CBSean Murphy-Bunting. “Curtis Samuel has had a multi-faceted role in Carolina’s offense recently,” wrote Woellert. “Samuel has received at least five targets in three-straight games, resulting in 20 targets in that span. He’s been efficient with those targets, hauling in 19 of the 20 for catches. He’s also received three carries in consecutive weeks and three or more carries in four of eight games. With Christian McCaffrey‘s status in doubt this week, I’m hoping for an improvement upon his Week 2 stinker. He should match up with Murphy-Bunting out of the slot, where Samuel is running 62% of his routes. Murphy-Bunting has allowed three scores and 271 yards in coverage, resulting in 2.8 fantasy points per target.”
Darren Waller (LV, $6,400) one of a few TEs on the slate that appears to offer a solid floor for some production, but defenses have been keying in on him of late and limiting his production. “There are two tight ends you put into your lineup every single week without hesitation, and Waller is one of them,” wrote Tagliere. “He’s totaled 71 targets on the year, and his 111.4 PPR points would rank 26th among wide receivers, and that’s despite having his bye week out of the way. The downside is that teams have started to catch on to what the Raiders want to do, and it’s limited his production over the last four weeks, as he’s failed to top 50 yards in any of the games. He has, however, scored in three of them, keeping his fantasy numbers afloat. Tight ends have hauled in 80.0 percent of their passes against the Broncos, which ranks as the third-highest mark in the league. This is great for a tight end who’s seen at least six targets in 7-of-8 games this season, including eight-plus targets in five of them.”
T.J. Hockenson (DET, $6,200) is the TE that I would like to have the most exposure to this week, but he injured a toe and did not practice on Thursday. Hockenson returned to practice on Friday, so he should be good to go, but we want alternative options. Hockenson has provided consistency in an incredibly unstable position. Hockenson’s lowest fantasy output of the season came in Week 3 against the Cardinals when he scored an acceptable 7.1 points. In five of nine games, he had scored 9.9 points or higher, including the past three. Hockenson has a solid matchup against a Washington defense that has allowed a sixth-most 15.43 fantasy points a game.
Dallas Goedert (PHI, $5,800) is a solid pivot from Hockenson. Goedert faces the Giants, who have allowed a 10th best 10.22 fantasy points a game to TEs, but the matchup may be better than it appears. “(Goedert) didn’t produce in his first game back from his fractured ankle, but that’s not the part you should be paying attention to,” wrote Tagliere. “He played a full complement of snaps and ran 25 routes, which is more than enough for him to do damage. The Giants have allowed just one tight end to finish with more than 49 yards against them this year, but they’ve also faced just two tight ends who’ve seen more than four targets. The 7.56 yards per target they’ve allowed to them ranks as the 14th-highest mark in football, but due to the lack of volume, they’ve allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game. Is it the scheme that prevents them from being targeted? They aren’t likely to see that benefit against the Eagles, who’ve targeted their tight ends 27.0 percent of the time. It’s also why we saw Richard Rodgers produce in their first matchup, racking up six catches for 85 yards, including one where he was tackled just short of the end zone. Goedert should be a plug-and-play TE1 every week, and this matchup shouldn’t change that.”
Evan Engram (NYG, $5,600) saves a few hundred from Goedert and should be highly targeted in a better matchup. “For the third straight game, Engram saw at least nine targets,” wrote Tagliere. “He also broke his scoreless streak, bringing in his first receiving touchdown of the year. The absence of Golden Tate surely didn’t hurt matters, but Engram has become the centerpiece of this offense. The last time they played the Eagles, he saw nine targets and turned them into six receptions for 46 yards, so it wasn’t a bad game, though not a great one. Tight ends have had success against that defense, though, as evidenced by the 16.5 PPR points per game they’ve allowed, which ranks as the third-most in the league. The 80.3 percent completion-rate (second-highest in NFL) bodes well for the highly-targeted Engram. The Eagles have played eight games to this point and have allowed seven different tight ends to post 9.3 or more PPR points, including top-two performances to both George Kittle and Tyler Higbee. The loss of Malcolm Jenkins has proven to hurt the back end of their defense, as the 2.17 PPR points per target to tight ends they’ve allowed (tied for fourth-most) is head and shoulders above the 1.64 they allowed last year (tied for 24th-most). With Engram seeing the targets he is, you have to keep him in lineups as a TE1 right now.”
Alvin Kamara (NO, $9,000) has a brutal matchup against the 49ers, but he still will likely produce with a lower ceiling. I plan to have one or two lineups with Kamara. “This is a battle of efficiency versus the defense who stops efficiency,” wrote Tagliere. “Kamara ranks No. 1 in weighted opportunity while the 49ers rank No. 2 in points allowed per opportunity. The 49ers haven’t allowed a running back more than 88 yards on the ground this year (just one over 63 yards) and have allowed just three rushing touchdowns. And keep in mind there have been five running backs who’ve totaled at least 15 carries. They have allowed 5.77 yards per target to running backs, which is essentially the league average, so that’s where Kamara is likely to get his production. He has seen at least six targets in 7-of-8 games, including eight-plus targets in six of them. Oddly enough, Kamara hasn’t topped 83 rushing yards all season, so this matchup shouldn’t be one we run too far from. His upside might be a bit capped, but he’s still an RB1 play every single week.”
Aaron Jones (GB, $8,800) is the top-ranked RB by Tagliere and myself. He has the second-highest projected score by 4for4 at 18.2 points. Dalvin Cook is the top projected scorer at 4for4 at 18.6 points but is not on the Main Slate. I have Jones as my top-ranked RB because he has the best matchup of the elite RBs and his team has the highest projected implied score at 32.5 points. That score projection suggests Jones should get at least one if not multiple opportunities to score. In Week 2 against the Lions, Jones rushed 18 times for 168 yards with two TDs and caught four of eight passes for 68 yards and another TD to score 43.6 points. While that may be an outlier, it’s the type of performance that is not out the question for him this week. The Jaguars have allowed a sixth-worst 27.81 fantasy points a game to RBs. “The Jaguars are a team they should have plenty of scoring opportunities against, as they’ve allowed at least 27 points to each of their last seven opponents, including four games where they’ve allowed 33 or more points,” wrote Tagliere. “Running backs have averaged a robust 30.0 touches per game against the Jaguars, so even if Rodgers is chopping them up, Jones should have plenty of opportunities to roam against a defense that’s allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to the position. We watched Duke Johnson fill in for David Johnson last week against them and deliver a top-eight running back performance, which made him the fourth running back to accomplish that against them this year. There’s blow-up potential for Jones here, as there’ve been three running backs who’ve scored two-plus touchdowns. He needs to be played as a high-end RB1.” I’ll likely have the most share of Jones this week, if not 100% ownership like I had of Cook last week.
James Robinson (JAC, $7,300) is a mid-priced RB, which is elite projections. Robinson has the fourth-highest projection at 4for4 at 15.7 points, and Tagliere has Robinson ranked 3rd. The lofty projections are due to Robinson has taken on a workhorse load as of late and is facing the Packers, who have allowed a second-worst 33.74 fantasy points a game to RBs. “(Robinson has) now received 47 carries over his last two games that have netted 218 yards and a touchdown, while seeing eight targets that have amounted to just four catches for 18 yards, though one of them was for a touchdown,” wrote Tagliere. “He hasn’t had fewer than 16 opportunities in any game this year, and that bodes well for his chances of success against the Packers defense. Of the production, the Packers have allowed to running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends combined, the running backs have accounted for 44.9 percent of it, which is the most in the NFL. Only one other team (Lions) has allowed more than a 38.4 percent share to running backs. The Packers have allowed a league-high 11 rushing touchdowns and 15 total touchdowns to running backs through eight games. Even if the game script goes south, which we’re expecting it to, the Packers have faced a running back target on 23.3 percent of pass attempts, which is the fourth-highest mark in the league, so Robinson’s floor should remain rather high. Removing all rushing totals, the Packers would still be allowing 15.3 PPR points per game to running backs. That’s largely because they’re one of just two teams who’ve allowed more than 1.73 PPR points per target to running backs. It’s kind of ridiculous to say they’ve allowed 2.11 PPR points per target. If you were to combine every wide receiver against the Packers and put them up against every running back against the Packers, you’d find that the running backs outscored them in a PPR format. They’re the only team in the NFL you can say that about. The 33.7 PPR points per game they’ve allowed to running backs bodes well for Robinson, who’s now scored 77.8 percent of the Jaguars running back points. All in all, Robinson ranks ninth in weighted opportunity, while the Packers rank dead-last in defending that opportunity. All logic points to Robinson as a rock-solid RB1 play this week.”
Duke Johnson (HOU, $5,800) took on a workhorse load when David Johnson left last Sunday’s game with a concussion just seven snaps in. According to a Tweet from Adam Levitan of Establish the Run, Duke Johnson finished the game playing in 52 of 64 snaps. This included eights seven snaps wide and one in the slot. He finished with 16 carries and a 12.5% target share. That opportunity turned into 41 rushing yards with a TD. He caught all four of his targets for 32 yards to score 13.3 fantasy points. The Texans face the Browns, who are middle of the pack against RBs, having allowed an average of 22.95 fantasy points a game. If Duke Johnson again sees a workhorse role, he has the opportunity to provide around a 3X performance with upside for more.
Mike Davis (CAR, $5,400) is a SMOKING value. Davis is priced so low because the expectation was he would see a limited number of snaps with the return of RB Christian McCaffrey ($9,700), but McCaffrey injured a shoulder last week and is doubtful. That opens the door for Davis to regain the workhorse load. Davis should reach 2X and beyond as a pass-catcher. “Teams have seemed to realize they can’t run the ball effectively on the Bucs, so they’ve opted to try and get production through the air with their running backs, targeting them on 22.4 percent of their attempts, which ranks as the sixth-most in the league,” wrote Tagliere. “That’s led to them allowing 12.5 PPR points per game through the air alone, which is where the Panthers running backs did damage against them back in their Week 2 matchup where Bridgewater targeted McCaffrey and Davis a combined 13 times, netting 12 receptions for 103 yards on them.”
FanDuel Lineup Build
There isn’t an exact science in what a winning FanDuel lineup looks likes. However, they should tell a logical story, and certain elements are frequent.
When building a FanDuel lineup, I’ll try to check off most of the criteria:
1) QB stacked with a WR: This allows for a double score when the two connect.
2) Opposing WRs: A recent analysis of big tournaments winners found a high percentage were constructed with two WRs in the same game from both teams. This combination makes sense because high scoring shootouts allow for opportunity on both sides of the ball. Based on matchups, some of our builds incorporate this.
3) RB stacked with Defense: There is a strong correlation between an RB performing well with their team’s defense. That’s something to factor in when choosing a reason, but in reality, it’s often the perceived best available defense with money left from the build that gets plugged in.
Stay with IroniqMedia for all of your fantasy football information here.
Follow Dan on Twitter @sandiegosports.