DFS NFL

NFL Championship Weekend Fanduel Advice: Three Lineups, One Without Pats

The NFL DFS season may be coming to an end, but we want to finish with a bang. To go out with a win, we are proving three lineups for free which includes one We’ve Got Balls lineup!!

My strategy in two-game slates is either stack the game that I think will score the most points, or stack what I believe will be the two winning teams. I also avoid any offensive players playing against my defense.

Two of the three lineups feature a stack of the Patriots and Vikings, who both play at home and are favored to win.

The third slate is contrarian. Named after us, We’ve Got Balls, Fade the Pats, has not just no Patriots, but also uses the opposing defense in the Jaguars. There is a logic to the insanity!

When building The Brady Bunch and In Keenum We Trust lineups which stacks the Patriots and Vikings, I would ideally like to have used RBs Leonard Fournette and Dion Lewis (NE, $7,700) with TE Rob Gronkowski. Those three players I see are the most likely to have big days at their perspective positions.

That trio, however, made it a necessity to take two big gambles at the WR position with players that have not recently been heavily targeted. I decided to pivot from RB Lewis to RB James White who has been a touchdown hog in the playoffs. Even if White doesn’t score a TD, he will likely see enough action to nearly make value and provides the salary relief for the use of quality WRs.

The Brady Bunch
QB Tom Brady (NE, $9,000)
RB Leonard Fournette (JAC, $8,500)
RB James White (NE, $4,800)
WR Stefon Diggs (MIN, $6,700)
WR Brandin Cooks (NE, $7,000)
WR Dede Westbrook (JAC, $5,500)
TE Rob Gronkowski (NE, $8,400)
K Kai Forbath (JAC, $4,900)
DST Minnesota Vikings ($4,900)

Projected Points: 97.60

What I Like: In all likelihood, Tom Brady is going to do what Brady normally does and this lineup stacks of some the most potent weapons on the Patriots. It’s also a double stack of the two home teams, who are both favored to win.

What I Dislike: In a two-game slate there are going to be a lot of lineups that are similar to this and it’s highly unlikely it will be original in any GPP with a significant amount of entries. RB James White and Dede Westbrook will likely need to both have decent games. Last week, Westbrook only had one catch for eight yards in a game that saw 87 points scored.

In Keenum We Trust
QB Case Keenum (MIN, $8,000)
RB Leonard Fournette (JAC, $8,500)
RB James White (NE, $4,800)
WR Stefon Diggs (MIN, $6,700)
WR Chris Hogan (NE, $6,100)
WR Adam Thielen (MIN, $7,400)
WR Stefon Diggs (MIN, $6,700)
TE Rob Gronkowski (NE, $8,400)
K Stephen Gostkowski (JAC, $4,900)
DST Minnesota Vikings ($4,900)

Projected Points: 98.90

What I Like: This is the other double stack of the two favorite teams with the focus on the Vikings WRs. This may make more sense as the Patriots offense is often sporadic on who gets the ball, while through the air for the Vikings it’s almost a certainty WRs Diggs and Cooks will receive plenty of targets. Despite not having Brady, this lineup is projected to score 1.3 more points than the Brady Bunch lineup.

What I Dislike: Tom Brady is not the QB. We still have a weak point at WR with Chris Hogan. Hogan played his second game coming off a shoulder injury last week and caught just one pass, but it was for a four-yard TD. The potential for a big play and finding the end zone is better with Hogan than Westbrook, who has Blake Bortles (JAC, $7,600) throwing him the ball.

We’ve Got Balls, Fade the Pats
QB Case Keenum (MIN, $8,000)
RB Leonard Fournette (JAC, $8,500)
RB Latavius Murray (MIN, $6,900)
WR Nelson Agholor (PHI, $6,200)
WR Adam Thielen (MIN, $7,400)
WR Stefon Diggs (MIN, $6,700)
TE Zach Ertz (PHI, $7,000)
K Josh Lambo (JAC, $4,600)
DST Jacksonville Jaguars

Projected Points: 93.70

What I Like: There is a more than reasonable chance Tom Brady has a poor outing on Sunday. Brady’s wrist may be worse than the Patriots are letting on. Many are reporting the injury as significant and Brady is avoiding addressing the issue.

Even if Brady is one hundred percent, the Jaguars defense racked up the second most sacks during the season with 55 and Brady was sacked a ninth most 35 times, so Sacksonville could still stifle a healthy Brady.

A crazy as it sounds to not play any Patriots, this lineup is only projected to score four to five fewer points than the other two that are stacked with four New England players. That is because this lineup is well-rounded. So, if the Patriots falter, this is the type of unique lineup that has a legitimate shot at winning a GPP on a two-game slate.

What I Dislike: RB Latavius Murray in a poor matchup against the Eagles stellar run defense and shares the workload with teammate RB Jerick McKinnon (MIN, $6,800). Nevertheless, you need to get lucky somewhere when building a two-game slate, and there is an argument McKinnon could be the guy. Despite the matchup, it’s within the realms of reasonable possibilities that Murray scores two TDs.

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