DFS Divisional Playoffs

DFS: NFL Divisional Round FanDuel Advice: Four Different Approaches


The Divisional round of the NFL Playoffs provide us some quality players who have performed well for DFS players throughout the season. This article has four complete lineups with different strategies and explains what I like and don’t like about each one of them.

For the second week in a row, two of the four lineups built for this article cashed in GPPs. This week, the lineups are in order from highest to lowest scoring projections.

Will Lutz and Kai Forbath are the only kickers I’m considering using this week because they are playing in a dome in a game that is projected to be competitive and high scoring. All the other kickers may face cold weather and wind limiting their accuracy.

Optimum Lineup
QB Tom Brady (NE, $8,800)
RB Derrick Henry (TEN, $6,700)
RB Le’Veon Bell ($9,400)
WR Michael Thomas (NO, $8,200)
WR Mohamed Sanu (ATL, $5,800)
WR Eric Decker (TEN, $4,800)
TE Austin Hooper (ATL, $4,800)
K Will Lutz (NO, $4,900)
DST Atlanta Falcons ($4,400)

What I Like: The pairing of Henry and Bell is fantastic! Both RBs are for sure bell cows. The only concern with Henry is that the Patriots could get a huge lead and the Titans abandon the run. However, that didn’t happen last week when the Titans trailed the Chiefs 21-3 at the half. Henry was a big part of the comeback. Henry finished the day with a career-high 156 rushing yards and a TD on 23 carries and had two receptions for 35 yards.

What I Don’t Like: Neither TE Austin Hooper or the Falcons defense excites me. There is money on the table to get the Jaguars defense, but I don’t like playing a defense against an opposing offensive player. Hooper could still have a big play. I think it is unlikely Hooper, Sanu, and Decker will all find the end zone.

RBs With Best Matchups
QB Tom Brady (NE, $8,800)
RB Leonard Fournette (JAC, $7,900)
RB Latavius Murray (MIN, $6,800)
WR Michael Thomas (NO, $8,200)
WR Adam Thielen (MIN, $7,600)
WR Mohamed Sanu (ATL, $5,800)
TE Austin Hooper (ATL, $4,800)
K K Will Lutz (NO, $4,900)
DST Jacksonville Jaguars ($4,700)

What I Like: This is a very well-rounded lineup. While RBs Fournette and Murray will see a fairly high ownership, it’s unlikely many will consider to pair the two. Most will likely pair either Fournette or Murray with RB Le’Veon Bell or RB Alvin Kamara. The pairing of Fournette and Murray may give you an opportunity for a relatively unique lineup while still having enough cash for quality WRs.

What I Don’t Like: If Bell has a great day you get doubly burned. Not only do you not get Bell’s points, but when he scores a TD the Jaguars defense loses points.

Stack a Competitive, Possible High Scoring Game
QB Case Keenum (MIN, $7,600)
RB Alvin Kamara (NO, $8,900)
RB Latavius Murray (MIN, $6,800)
WR Michael Thomas (NO, $8,200)
WR Adam Thielen (MIN, $7,600)
WR Ted Ginn (NO, $5,900)
TE Josh Hill (NO, $4,700)
K Kai Forbath (NE $4,900)
DST Pittsburgh Steelers ($5,300)

What I Like: The Saints at Vikings has the second highest over/under at 46.5, just one point less than the 47.5 for the Titans at Patriots game. The Vikings are only favored by 4.5 points, while the Patriots are the favorites by a whopping 13.5 points. This means the Saints at Vikings matchup has the best opportunity to develop into a high scoring back and forth game that also has a reasonable possibility of going into overtime.

The cheap players have a real chance. WR Tedd Ginn and TE Josh Hill both scored a TD last week and could do it again. Hill is playing in replace of TE Coby Fleener (concussion) and appears to be making the most of his opportunity. I played Hill last at 3% ownership and it paid off. Hill flat-out laid out for two of his three receptions and in the process may have built some confidence with QB Drew Brees. Hill may be the best cheap TE play of the weekend.

What I Don’t Like: The projected score for this lineup is about 10 points less than the ideal lineup. However, this is my favorite GPP play of the week. It certainly is a solid play for a Sunday only slate, but playing it the full slate could be a very sneaky play.

Stack Highest Project Offenses
QB Case Keenum (MIN, $7,600)
RB Dion Lewis (NE, $7,600)
RB Latavius Murray (MIN, $6,800
WR Adam Thielen (MIN, $7,600)
WR Brandin Cooks (NE, $7,700)
WR Kenny Britt (NE, $4,600)
TE Rob Gronkowski (NE, $8,500)
K Kai Forbath (NE, $4,900)
DST Jacksonville Jaguars ($4,700)

What I Like: With the exception of WR Kenny Britt, this is a solid lineup with players who will all likely contribute with two teams that are projected to score the most points. Having TE Rob Gronkowski is certainly nice!

What I Don’t Like: Both games have to go according to Vegas script for this to work, and there is a good chance one will not. The projected total for this lineup is about 15 points less than the best lineup. Britt accounts for a large portion of that discrepancy and could put up a goose egg which is hard to overcome. However, Britt is the tradeoff to have Gronkowski. If Britt does score a TD, Gronkowski does his thing, and Keenum rises to the opportunity, then you may be on the road to winning a GPP.

 

Facebook Comments:

Leave a reply

%d bloggers like this: