FanDuel NFL Week 16 Picks: Diverse value lineups
At every offensive position, Week 16 of the NFL DFS season provides intriguing players across the FanDuel cost spectrum. The last few weeks this article has focused on cheap running back to partner with elite WRs. This blew up last week as RB Todd Gurley went off for 43.5 FanDuel points, and WR Antonio Brown left the field with a calf injury. This week we will try to turn things around with more diverse lineup options.
There a few more choices than usual, but this should offer flexibility in lineup building.
QB Russell Wilson (SEA, $9,000) is expensive and he let us all down last week with just 11.58 FanDuel points scored. It was the first time in 10 games that he did not make at least a 2x value based on his price this week. Due to that performance, he may have a lower ownership than merited for the matchup he has against the Cowboys. Dallas gave up eight passing TDs over the last four weeks, tied for fourth worst.
QB Cam Newton (CAR, $8,300) is coming off a 31.48 FanDuel performance against the Packers. It was second plus 30 game in six outings which he has averaged 23.44 FanDuel points. However, the matchup against the Buccaneers is not as juicy as it may seem at first glance. Tampa Bay has only allowed three passing TDs over the last four weeks.
QB Philip Rivers (LAC, $8,100) is in a similar position as Wilson. He is coming off a poor performance in which he only threw one and scored just 10.08 FanDuel points. In the five weeks prior, Rivers had averaged two passing TDs a game averaged 18.28 FanDuel points a game. Over the last four weeks, the Jets have allowed a seventh worst seven passing TDs.
QB Jameis Winston (TB, $7,1000) completed 27 of 35 passes for 299 yards and three TDs against the Falcons on Monday in route to scoring 25.76 FanDuel points. It was his third game in a row in which he would have exceeded a 2X value at his price this week. The Panthers have given up a third highest 9 passing TDs over the last four weeks. Winston is my favorite QB play of the week.
RB Todd Gurley II (LAR, $9,100) is the most expensive player on the board after his incredible performance last week. Gurley does come with some caution. He is in a very tough matchup against the Titans who have given up just one rushing TD in the last four games. But, sure go ahead, don’t let me talk you out of playing him. I might just talk myself into using him at least once despite the price and the matchup.
RB Melvin Gordon (LAC, $8,500) has had TDs in consecutive games. He also appears to be getting more involved in the game as a pass catcher. Last week, he carried the ball 19 times for 78 yards and TD and caught six of eight targets for 91 yards. Backup RB Austin Ekeler (broken finger) may not play and that could provide a few more touches. Gordon faces the Jets who over the last four weeks have allowed 327 rushing yards and a fifth most four rushing TDs.
RB Kareem Hunt (KC, $8,300) is officially back. Over the last two weeks, Hunt has had 49 rushing attempts for 271 yards and two TDs. He has also had 10 receptions for 73 Yards and TD. His matchup against the Dolphins is very intriguing because they are allowing TDs to RBs both on the ground through the air which. Miami has given up a fourth most six TDs to RBs over the last four weeks, three rushing and three receiving. Hunt looks to be the best option for the RBs priced above $8,000.
RB Christian McCaffrey (CAR, $7,300) had 12 carries for 63 yards and caught six of seven passes for 73 yards and a TD in route scoring 22.6 FanDuel points last week. McCaffrey faces the Buccaneers who have given up seven rushing TDs in the last four weeks, the most of any team.
RB Kenyan Drake (MIA, $7,100) has scored over 20 FanDuel points in three straight weeks. As a receiver, he was targeted 11 times last week, more than any other RB. Over the last two games, Drake had 11 receptions for 114 yards. The Chiefs have allowed 364 rushing yards and three TDs over the last four games, bottom third in both categories.
RB Elijhaa Penny (AIR, $4,500) could be an incredibly sneaky play this week. Penny took over as the lead back in the fourth quarter last week when Kerwynn Williams injured a quadriceps and carried the ball 10 times for 45 yards. He is likely to assume the lead back role this week against the Giants who have given up 465 rushing yards and three rushing TDs to RBs over the last four weeks. Penny is strictly a GPP play but will be likely extremely low owned.
WR Michael Thomas (NO, $,8,200) has been targeted at least eight times in every game this year. Over the last two games, he had been targeted 25 times with 19 receptions for 210 yards and two TDs. Over the last four weeks, the Falcons have given a four receiving TDs, and fifth worst 674 receiving yards.
WR Keenan Allen (LAC, $8,300) injured his back last week but was not listed on the injury report as on Wednesday. Prior to the injury, Allen had a four-game streak with at least six catches for 105 yards. If healthy, he should return to form this week.
WR Mike Evans (TB, $7,000) has a disappointing year but is still a dynamic player in a fantastic matchup at a good price. Evans caught five of eight passes for 78 yards and a TD on Monday. Over the last four weeks, the Panthers have given up more fantasy points to WR than any other team, whopping 30.63 per game average, according to fantasy.nfl.com.
WR Kendall Wright (CHI, $5,100) has had 11 and 13 targets in the last two games and has 17 receptions for 188 yards. Wright faces the Browns who have given up 637 receiving yards and four receiving TDs over the last four games, bottom third in both categories.
WR Keelan Cole (JAC, $5,300) is a very intriguing cheap option. Cole caught seven of nine passed for 169 yards and a TD last week. He had three catches for 99 yards the week prior. Cole faces the 49ers who are about the middle of the pack against WR over the last month.
TE Rob Gronkowski (NE, $8,400) is more of an elite WR play than a TE. He was targeted 13 times last week and caught nine passes for 168 yards. That trend should continue. The Bills have allowed a fourth most 264 receiving yards to TEs over the last four weeks. Gronkowski can reasonably fit into a lineup that has Winston at QB and does not play Gurley.
TE Delanie Walker (TEN, $6,400) has had 19 targets over the last two games with 10 receptions and one TD. Walker faces the Rams who gave up a league-high four TDs to TEs over the last four weeks. I will likely have the highest ownership share of Walker than any other TE.
TE Antonio Gates (LAC, $4,500) is a great option at the minimum price. Teammate TE Hunter Henry (IR, lacerated kidney) is out for the rest of the season. Gates will still likely share of the early down snaps with TEs Jeff Cumberland (LAC, $4,500) and Sean McGrath (LAC, $4,500), but will be the predominant TE option to move the chains and will be targeted in the red zone. Last week, Gates had a 10-yard reception for a TD. The Jets have allowed 146 receiving yards and two TDs to TEs over the last four weeks. I believe the ceiling for Gates is about five catches for 50 yards and TD. I don’t expect huge numbers, but he does allow you to afford RB Gurley or QB Wilson.
McLellan’s NFL Week 16 Player Pool