FanDuel NFL Week 15 Picks: Focused on Powerhouse Matchups
Week 15 of the NFL DFS season should see a some high scoring affairs as a few marquee offenses faceoff in games that have huge playoff implications. The Rams at Seahawks and Patriots at Steelers are two games where elite players should have big games.
QB Ben Roethlisberger (PIT, $8,000) completed 44 of 66 passes for 506 yards and two TDs during the overtime win against the Ravens last week. Roethlisberger has 12 passing TDs over the last four games. The Steelers are playing the high scoring Patriots for what could amount to control of the AFC 1st seed in the playoffs. The game has the highest over/under at 53 points, according to FantasyPros. Expect Roethlisberger to continue to air it out.
QB Russell Wilson (SEA, $8,400) has thrown three TDs in four straight games with FanDuel scores ranging from 24.2 to 31.9. The Rams have allowed seven passing TDs over that same period, tied for the fourth most. The Rams have also allowed a sixth most 1,080 passing yards over the last month. The game has the second highest over/under at 47.5 points
QB Nick Foles (PHI, $6,000) has experience and is now leading one of the most dynamic offenses in football. Will Foles be as good as Carson Wentz (ACL,IR)? Probably, not even close. However, he still has weapons and is a facing a Giants defense in the bottom third against QBs. Foles has an excellent opportunity to well exceed value and frees up cash to spend elsewhere.
As in recent weeks, I’m focused cheaper RBs options who are receiving reasonably high volume and are in very good matchups.
RB Latavius Murray (MIN, $6,2000) disappointed last week, but is in a prime place to rebound. Teammate RB Jerick McKinnon (shoulder) has been limited in practice in this week, which may mean an even larger workload for Murray. The Viking face the Bengals who over the last four weeks have allowed a second worst 533 rushing yards.
RB Kenyan Drake (MIA, $6,500) over the last two games has carried the ball 48 times for 234 rushing yards with a TD and has eight receptions for 100 yards. In those games he scored 21.6 and 21.8 FanDuel points. Over the last four weeks, the Bills have allowed 487 rushing yards and four rushing TDs.
RB Kerwynn Williams (AIR, $5,500) has had a nice workload over the last two weeks and that should continue against a poor rush defense in the Redskins. Over the last two games, Williams has averages 18 carries for 85 yards. With Adrian Peterson (neck) not playing, Williams workload should stay steady which means he has an excellent opportunity to reach value whether he gets a TD. The Redskins have given up four rushing TDs over the last four weeks, tied for fourth worst.
RB Mike Davis (SEA, $5,800) is another low priced RB who is seeing a fair amount of volume and is in a plus matchup. His rushing stat lines have almost been identical over the last two games. He had 15 carries for 66 yards in week 13, and 16 carries for 64 yards last week. Over the last four weeks, the Rams have given up 489 rushing yards and four rushing TDs.
This week I am again look primarily to the elite WRs in projected high scoring games.
WR Antonio Brown (PIT, $9,300) has performed at an insane level! Over the last four games he has averaged 14.75 targets with 9.75 catches for 156.75 yards and 1.75 TDs per game. In that span he has scored 26.8, 20.1, 35.9, and 37.4 FanDuel points. While the Patriots pass defense has played better lately as opposed to the beginning of the season, they have still allowed a ninth most four TDs to WRs over the last month. Expect Brown to continue to be heavily targeted.
WR Brandin Cooks (NE, $8,100) is less about stat line or matchup than opportunity. Cooks in the Patriots number one WR in what is projected as the highest scoring game of the week. If the point total reaches the projected 53 points, Cooks will likely play a major role.
WR Danny Amendola (NE $5,200) caught six passes for 76 yards last week and is $2,900 less that Cooks. Amendola provides great exposure to a predicted high scoring game at a low price.
WR Michael Thomas (NO, $8,100) has a TD in two consecutive games and he did it against good pass defenses. The Saints should dominate their game against the Jets who lost QB Josh McCown (hand, IR) last week. Jets backup QB Bryce Petty is inexperienced. According to line, the Saints are expected to score 32 points, the most for any team. With a projected 3-4 TDs scored by the Saints, there is a good chance Thomas will extend his TD streak.
WR Cooper Kupp (LAC, $6,500) has surpassed 100 yards receiving in two of the last three games. Last week, he had five receptions for 118 yards and a TD. The week faces a Seattle defense which has recently been poor against the pass. Over the last four weeks, the Seahawks defense a third worst 782 receiving yards to WRs, and a are tied for a fourth worst five TDs to WRs.
TE Rob Gronkowski (NE, $8,500) affectively is coming off an extra bye week after serving a one-game suspension. The position matchup isn’t fantastic against the Steelers who have been good against TEs, but that will likely not matter. There is nothing wrong with using Gronkowski/Amendola stack instead of Cooks in what should be a high scoring game.
TE Marcedes Lewis (JAX, $4,700) has had only had one monster game all season when he had three TDs against Baltimore in week 3. This week maybe his best chance to coming anywhere close to duplicating that. The Texans have given up 274 yards and four TDs to TEs over the last four weeks, second worst in both categories.
TE Jason Witten (DAL, $5,700) is facing the Raiders who have allowed 26 receptions and 329 yards to TEs over the last four weeks. Witten has had one reception for a TD in consecutive games. In two of the three games prior, Witten had seven receptions with no TDs. There is a reasonably good chance Witten can have a high reception game and make it into the end zone against Oakland.
TE Ricky Seals-Jones (AIR, $5,300) has three TDs in the last four games. Seals-Jones faces the Redskins who have allowed a third worst three TDs to TEs over that span.
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