FanDuel NFL Week 11 Picks: RBs difficult, Kelce stands out at TE
A few predicted high scoring games offer intriguing options at the QB and WR positions for the FanDuel NFL week 11 DFS slate, while selecting the correct RBs offer a bit of a challenge.
QB Alex Smith (KC, $7,900) has scored the third most fantasy points of any QB (189.06), according to fantasy.nfl.com. Smith faces the Giants defense that has given up 20 passing TDs and 20.78 fantasy points per game (FPPG), both a league worst. Smith seems like a steal as the 9th most expensive QB on the main slate.
QB Carson Wentz (PHI, $8,700) is the most expensive QB on the slate, he has scored the most fantasy points (193.58). Wentz leads the league with 23 passing TDs. It has been five games since he has played a game in which he would not have made value at his price for this week and has averaged 19.30 FanDuel points over that period. Wentz faces a Dallas defense which is middle of the road against the pass with a 16.79 FPPG average and has allowed a 16 passing TDs.
QB Tom Brady (NE, $8,600) proved yet again that he can get it again against any defense by throwing three TDs in route to scoring 22.6 FanDuel points against a strong Broncos pass defense. The Raiders are in bottom third against QBs having allowed 19.03 FPPG and 14 passing TDs. The game has the highest over-under at 54.5 points.
QB Drew Brees (NO, 8,100) hasn’t put up gaudy fantasy numbers as the Saints all of sudden have evolved into a running team. However, that makes him a sneaky play this week. Over the last four weeks, the Redskins have given up 10 passing TDs, tied with two others for the most. The game has the second highest over/under at 51 points. The Redskins defense, in general, is much stronger against the run than the pass. This means Brees could be one who shines this week.
Honestly, I really struggled with the RBs this week. There isn’t one RB that is jumping off the stat page that I absolutely want to play. I would love to use Todd Gurley II (LAR, 8,700), but the matchup against the Viking is atrocious as Minnesota is among the best run defenses in the league. The Rams have struggled against the run, but now it is tough to decide who will the ball for the Vikings between Jerick McKinnon (MIN, $6,400) and Latavius Murray (MIN, $6,600).
RB Mark Ingram (NO, $8,200) and Alvin Kamara (NO, $7,500) has been on fire for the Saints, but again they have a poor matchup against Washington. While they will both be popular plays because of recent performance, I believe the game script will be more passing.
This, for the most part, leads me to mid-to-lower range RBs in plus matchups.
RB Melvin Gordon (LAC, $7,800) has the best matchup of any RB on the main slate. Buffalo has given up a league-high 11 rushing TDs and their 22.77 FPPG average to RBS is second worst. Gordon, however, comes with some reservations. Gordon has lost touches to RB Austin Eckler (LAC, 5,200). Last week, Ekeler carried the ball 10 times for 42 yards and caught all five of his targets for 77 yards and two TDs for 24.4 FanDuel points. Eckler could be in for a similar amount of touches, which may make him a quality cheap RB option.
RB Jordon Howard (CHI, $7,400) disappointed last week but is another solid position against Detroit. The Lions are given up eight rushing TDs, tied with three other teams for second worst.
RB Ameer Abdullah (DET, $6,200) is a cheaper option in the same game on the other side of the ball. The Bears have also given up eight rushing TDs.
RB Orleans Darkwa (NYG, $5,900) is constantly getting 15 to 20 touches a game and performing near 2x value. The Chiefs are another team that has given up eight rushing TDs. If Darkwa can find the end zone, then, he will likely exceed value.
WR Michael Thomas (NO, $8,600) caught nine of 10 targets for 117 yards last week. He should again be heavily involved in the offense in what’s expected to be a high scoring game.
WR Larry Fitzgerald (AIR, $6,900) is coming off another strong outing and has a matchup to repeat. Last week, Fitzgerald caught 10 of 14 targets for 113 yards against a good Seahawks defense. Fitzgerald faces the Texans who have given up a second worst 26.11 FPPG to WRs and, a third word worst 12 TDs.
Michael Crabtree (OAK, $7,500) and/or Amari Cooper (OAK, $7,300) could both have a huge game against the Patriots. The problem is, it’s usually one or the other that stands out in a given week. The game has the highest over-under at 54.5, so maybe there is room for both. The Patriots have given up a third-worst 25.78 FPPG to WRs, but have shown improvement recently.
WR Brandin Cooks ($7,900) appears more inviting than either or Crabtree or Cooper because although he is only slightly more expensive, he is the clear No. 1 receiver for Brady. The Raiders, however, have only given up seven passing TDs on the year.
WR Sterling Shepard (KC, 6,500) has seen his price raise a bit over the last two weeks, but is still a good value for being a number one receiver who is going up against a defense that is extremely poor through the air. Shepard caught 11 of 13 targets for 142 yards last week. He faces the Chiefs who have given up a 15 TDs to WRs and a 28.60 FPPG average, both a league worst.
WR Dontrelle Inman (CHI, $4,900) could be an incredibly sneaky play that pays huge dividends. Traded from the Chargers to Chicago, Inman all of a sudden is one of the top WR options on the Bears. Last week, Inman caught six of eight targets for 88 yards. Chicago will likely have to throw the ball to stay in this week’s matchup against Detroit. The Lions have a moderate pass defense that has allowed 20.87 FPPG to WRs and eight receiving TDs.
TE Travis Kelce (KC, $7,500) might be the one must play on the slate. He is the leading fantasy scorer with 93.60 points. He faces the Giants who are the worst team against TEs. The Giants have given up a league-high average of 13.61 FPPG to TEs and 10 TDs, three more TDs than any other team. A Smith/Kelce stack makes a lot of sense.
The 10 TDs allowed by the Giants is what really makes Kelce a must play. There will be a lot of interest in TEs Rob Gronkowski (NE, $8,200), Zach Ertz (PHI, $8,000) and Evan Engram ( NYG, $7,400). None of those players face a defense that has allowed more than four TDs to TEs this season.
McLellan’s Week 11 FanDuel Player Pool