FanDuel NFL Week 9 Picks: Saints and Cowboys offer good plays
The NFL week 9 DFS slate is missing a number of big names who are on their bye week, but there is still plenty of talent in great matchups to choose from in this week’s FanDuel NFL Week 9 Picks.
QB Drew Brees (NO, $8,500) at home in a dome has typically been one of the safest plays with huge upside that there is fantasy football. Brees faces the Buccaneers which have given up a sixth worst 18.92 fantasy points per game (FPPG) to QBs. Tampa Bay has also allowed 12 passing TDs, tied for 12th worst. Brees had sub-par games against the Lions and Bears at home, but both of those teams have strong pass defenses.
QB Dak Prescott (DAL, $8,200) has a great matchup against the Chiefs who are giving up a ton through the air. Kansas City has allowed 2,185 passing yards and 14 passing TDs, both 4th most. Prescott threw four TDs against the 49ers in his last plus matchup. He also passed for four TDs against the Packers in the game prior. Prescott should have a big day at home against the Chiefs.
QB Deshaun Watson (HOU, $9,600) is on fir…., that sucks (ACL).
There are number of RBs at varying price points that are intriguing. I likely will not use them all, but it’s not to have options and flexibility.
RB Ezekiel Elliott (DAL, $8,900) is another perfect example of why it pays to procrastinate when it comes to writing a fantasy football article. Another day, another court decision. He plays this week. Elliott has two rushing TDs in consecutive games. He faces the Chiefs who have given up a second worst seven rushing TDs on the year.
RB Lamar Miller (HOU, $7,500) will likely have more than 20 total touches in a great matchup. The Rams have given up a third worst 9 total TDs (7 rushing, 2 receiving) to RBs. Los Angeles has allowed a second worst 23.26 FPPG to RBs. Watson has 17 to 24 total touches and four TDs over the last four games. Miller (knee) is listed as questionable, so check the inactive report on Sunday morning.
RB Mark Ingram (NO, $7,900) continues to make the most of his opportunities despite sharing touches with Alvin Kamara (NO, $$6,600). In the last three games Ingram has scored 27.5, 19, and 14.9 FanDuel points, respectively. Ingram has 24-30 total touches in those three games. The Buccaneers have given up a 10th worst 18.87 FPPG to RBs. The Bucs have also allowed six rushing TDs, tied for fifth worst.
RB Adrian Peterson (ARI, $6,800) has the best matchup of any RB. The 49ers defense has allowed 25.45 FPPG to RBs and 10 total TDs (6 rushing, 4 receiving) are both worst in the league. This recommendation comes with CAUTION! Peterson had a fantastic game in his first game with the Cardinals when he scored 25.4 FanDuel points against the Buccaneers. He then fell flat against the Rams soft run defense and scored 3.8 points. A big reason for the decline is QB Carson Palmer got injured, and backup QB Drew Stanton (AIR, $6,400) couldn’t get anything going. This allowed the Rams defense to key on Peterson. Stanton should have more success coming off a bye a preparing with the starters to play a poor pass defense in the 49ers. If Stanton struggles, however, then Peterson will likely be ineffective again. In short: Peterson is worth the risk in a GPP, but don’t over use.
RB Orleans Darkwa (NYG, $5,400) is coming off a bye and probably will not be on the radar of many DFS players, but he will likely get a large workload in a great matchup, and has a cheap price. Darkwa was underwhelming in week 7 against tough Seattle defense when carried the ball just nine times for 35 yards and three receptions for 13 yards. The week prior against Denver he had 13 carries for 117 yards and one reception for 13 yards. This week Darkwa faces the Rams which are second worst to RBs in both the 9 total TDs (7 rushing, 2 receiving) and a 23.26 FPPG average to RBs.
WR Dez Bryant (DAL, $7,700) is the number one receiver going up against the team that gives up the most fantasy points against WRs. Bryant has a 12th best 8.0 target per game average. He has four receiving TDs, tied for 11th best. The Chiefs are worst in FPPG allowed to WRs, 27.63, and TDs to WRs, 13.
WR Michael Thomas (NO, $7,600) is heavily targeted with an 8.7 targets per game average. He is coming off consecutive seven catch performance, but has not found the end zone in three games. The Buccaneers have allowed a third worst 26.59 FPPG to WRs.
Sterling Shepard (NYG, $5,900) has a tough matchup, but is cheaply priced based on the targets he will likely see. Shepard injured his ankle in week 5, but looks to be completely healthy now. In that same game, Giants WRs Odell Beckham and Brandon Marshall suffered season ending injuries. Shepard now returns as the number one WR for the Giants and already has two seven catch games this season, so it’s reasonable to expect he could be tremendously productive. The drawback is the matchup. The Rams have only given up a 7th best 16.04 fantasy points per game to WRs, and are tied for 2nd best with only three TDs allowed. Shepard, however, still has a good chance at returning plus value at his price.
TE Zach Ertz (PHI, $7,600) is an elite TE in a phenomenal matchup. TE is a position that I tend to pay down for and look for a favorable matchup. This week there is value to be found at WR and RB positions, so I likely will spend on Ertz, who has TDs in four straight games and five of the last six. Ertz has averaged a TD a game in that stretch and has faced some difficult defenses for his position. This week, Ertz faces a Broncos defense which has given up a second worst 11.19 FPPG to TEs. Ertz (hamstring) is listed as questionable, so check the inactive report.
TE Austin Hooper (ATL, $4,700) is a solid value play at a near basement price. Hooper is coming off a four catch performance for 47 yards and a TD against the Jets. Hooper faces a Panthers defense which is in the middle of the pack against TEs having allowed an average of 7.0 FPPG to the position.
McLellan’s Week 9 FanDuel Player Pool
Lamar Miller (check inactive report)
Adrian Peterson (Sparingly, GPP only)
Zach Ertz (check inactive report)