FanDuel NFL picks: Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Adam Humphries provides great value
Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Adam Humphries ($4,800 on FanDuel) is a great value play for the Mon-Thu DFS slate during the end of Week 4 and beginning of Week 5. Humphries caught six of seven targets for 70 yards on Sunday against the Giants. Humphries will likely continue to get opportunities on Thursday when the Bucs face the Patriots defense which is dead last against the pass allowing 1,296 yards in four games. Humphries’ near basement price will allow you play multiple high-value plays in a slate that has several.
Upper end players to consider: RB Kareem Hunt (KC, $8,900), TE Travis Kelce (KC, $7,400), WR Tryeek Hill (KC, $,7,400), WR Mike Evans (TB, 7,900), QB Tom Brady (NE, $9,500), TE Rob Gronkowski (NE, $8,500), and WR Brandin Cooks (NE, $7,900).
QB Jameis Winston (TB, $7,300) passed for 332 yards and three TDs on Sunday. A Winston/Humphries stack is a great value play considering the Patriots have allowed all four opposing QBs to pass for over 300 yards this season. This includes Panthers QB Cam Newton who had been woeful, but racked up 333 passing yards with 3 TDs, and ran for 44 yards and another TD on Sunday against the Pats.
If you play the Winston/Humphries stack, then you can afford Kareem Hunt who as averaged 30.8 FanDuel points a game with six total TDs (4 rushing, 2 receiving), 401 rushing yards, and 137 receiving yards on nine receptions.
The Hunt play, however, may come with a bit of risk considering the Washington Redskins defense held Raiders RB Marshawn Lynch to just 18 rushing yards a week ago and the Silver and Black’s dynamic offense to a measly 141 total yards. Redskins DC Greg Manusky is familiar with preparing for AFC West teams because he previously was the Chargers DC, so there is a chance for a repeat performance even though this game is being played in Kansas City.
To play Hunt, or not play Hunt maybe the question: If you play Hunt he will be heavily owned and there is a reasonable chance this is the week he underperforms. If you don’t play Hunt and he doesn’t perform well then you will have a huge advantage, but if Hunt does what he has done all season, then it will be difficult to cash without him.
An advantage to not playing Hunt is you should be able to afford Brady who leads the league in passing with 1,399 yards and 10 TDs.
Another thing to consider is on paper the Thursday game looks like it should be all about the offense. It may be best to get as many players in that game in your lineup as possible.
If go that route, then consider RB Doug Martin (TB, $6,200). Martin will have fresh legs coming off a suspension, and may have a field day against the Pats 26th ranked run defense which has allowed 531 yards (132.8 YPG) and three TDs on the ground.