Stack Palmer, Jaron Brown in Mon-Thu DFS Slate
If you are playing the NFL Mon-Thu DFS slate, consider a stack of Cardinals QB Carson Palmer and WR Jaron Brown. While likely being low-owned, the duo has the potential to generate points while their low price combo allows you to fill your lineup with players who have a high probability of being heavily involved in the two games.
Palmer ($7,700 on FanDuel) may be the third highest owned QBs of the four in the slate. It’s reasonable to expect Packers Aaron Rodgers ($9,400) ownership may reach 50% despite being the highest price player on the slate. Dallas QB Dak Prescott ($8,200) could be 25% to 30%. Bears QB Mike Glennon ($6,600) might garnish 5% to 10% ownership with his low price tag.
That means I expect a low 10% to 15% ownership for Carson, who has averages 300 yards a game passing. Carson has also thrown two TDs and will face the Cowboys defense that has given up four passing TDs through two games.
It’s not that I am expecting Palmer to out perform Rodgers and Prescott, but there is some evidence that it could happen and in a two game slate we have recently seen to expect the unexpected. Regardless, a decent performance by Palmer combined with a sub-excellent performance by Rodgers and Prescott will give you an edge in the money you have to build the rest of your lineup, especially when you stack Palmer with Jaron Brown ($4,500, lowest possible on FanDuel).
Palmer is going to throw the ball, as evidence by his 300 YPG average. For the Cardinals to succeed, it’s also likely needed for Palmer to air it out with RB David Johnson (knee, out) not playing. Who will get targeted for a good portion of those passes is the question. WR Larry Fitzgerald ($7,400, 9.5 targets per game average) is the go-to man. The Cowboys defense, however, knows Fitzgerald is Palmer’s best weapon and will key on him with Johnson not playing.
Behind Fitzgerald, the Cardinals WR depth is slim. John Brown (out, quadriceps) will not play. J.J Nelson (hamstring) is questionable.
This leaves Jaron Brown as the next man up. Last week, Brown racked up four catches for 73 yards with a team best 11 targets. The 9.3 FanDuel points he earned gave him a slightly greater than 2x performance. It’s reasonable to expect a similar performance on Monday night. If Brown scores a TD, however, then you will have a huge advantage on the rest of the field.
With a Palmer, Jaron Brown stack, you can afford:
Cowboys WR Dez Bryant ($8,400, 12.5 targets per game average)
Packers WR Jordy Nelson ($8,800, 131 yards and 3 TDs in two games played)